Spain commands a narrow trader consensus edge at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, propelled by their Euro 2024 conquest, flawless recent form in European qualifiers, and top billing in power rankings 100 days from kickoff. France's 11% trails closely after Kylian Mbappé overcame knee concerns to spark a 2-1 friendly triumph over Brazil last week, while England's 13% reflects squad depth despite inconsistent tune-ups. Argentina clings to contention via Lionel Messi's influence and recent victories, but Brazil slips to 9% amid injuries sidelining Raphinha (hamstring) and Rodrygo (ACL tear). The tight top cluster underscores a parity-laden field, with elite talent across Europe and South America, navigable group stage draws, and knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 15.8%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.1%
Argentinien 9.8%
$425,802,661 Vol.
$425,802,661 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
11%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Australien
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Spanien 15.8%
England 12.8%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 11.1%
Argentinien 9.8%
$425,802,661 Vol.
$425,802,661 Vol.
Spanien
16%
England
13%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
11%
Argentinien
10%
Brasilien
9%
Portugal
7%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
3%
Italien
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Japan
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Schweiz
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Österreich
1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Australien
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain commands a narrow trader consensus edge at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, propelled by their Euro 2024 conquest, flawless recent form in European qualifiers, and top billing in power rankings 100 days from kickoff. France's 11% trails closely after Kylian Mbappé overcame knee concerns to spark a 2-1 friendly triumph over Brazil last week, while England's 13% reflects squad depth despite inconsistent tune-ups. Argentina clings to contention via Lionel Messi's influence and recent victories, but Brazil slips to 9% amid injuries sidelining Raphinha (hamstring) and Rodrygo (ACL tear). The tight top cluster underscores a parity-laden field, with elite talent across Europe and South America, navigable group stage draws, and knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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