Arsenal tops trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup after advancing past Mansfield Town in the fifth round and drawing Championship side Southampton in the quarter-finals scheduled for April 4, bolstered by their Premier League-leading 70 points from 21 wins. Manchester City follows at 25.5%, reflecting solid form but a daunting Etihad clash with Liverpool, while Chelsea's 20% share surges on a favorable home tie against League One giantkillers Port Vale, who stunned Sunderland 1-0. Liverpool sits at 13.5% amid the tough matchup, with Leeds United and West Ham United even at 5.9% in their all-English quarter-final, and Southampton at 2.8% despite home advantage versus Arsenal's perfect cup record this season. Port Vale trails at 0.7% as historic underdogs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArsenal 36%
Manchester City 26%
Chelsea 20%
Liverpool 14%
$104,421 Vol.
$104,421 Vol.
Arsenal
36%
Manchester City
26%
Chelsea
20%
Liverpool
14%
Leeds United AFC
6%
West Ham United
6%
Southampton
3%
Port Vale
1%
Arsenal 36%
Manchester City 26%
Chelsea 20%
Liverpool 14%
$104,421 Vol.
$104,421 Vol.
Arsenal
36%
Manchester City
26%
Chelsea
20%
Liverpool
14%
Leeds United AFC
6%
West Ham United
6%
Southampton
3%
Port Vale
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup after advancing past Mansfield Town in the fifth round and drawing Championship side Southampton in the quarter-finals scheduled for April 4, bolstered by their Premier League-leading 70 points from 21 wins. Manchester City follows at 25.5%, reflecting solid form but a daunting Etihad clash with Liverpool, while Chelsea's 20% share surges on a favorable home tie against League One giantkillers Port Vale, who stunned Sunderland 1-0. Liverpool sits at 13.5% amid the tough matchup, with Leeds United and West Ham United even at 5.9% in their all-English quarter-final, and Southampton at 2.8% despite home advantage versus Arsenal's perfect cup record this season. Port Vale trails at 0.7% as historic underdogs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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