2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4

Beigetreten Feb. 2025·1.1K Aufrufe

$3,116.94

Positionen Wert

$188.40

Größter Gewinn

853

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: +$1,226.93
Gesamtvolumen: 209.4K

Gewinn/Verlust

$73.69

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

1,408.4 Anteile

92.1¢

96.3¢

$1,355.57$58.38 (4.5%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

1,408.4 Anteile

$1,355.57$58.38 (4.5%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 83.2¢

570.0 Anteile

83.2¢

76¢

$433.21-$41.32 (-8.71%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 83.2¢

570.0 Anteile

$433.21-$41.32 (-8.71%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 82.2¢

300.0 Anteile

82.2¢

93.5¢

$280.50$34.00 (13.79%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 82.2¢

300.0 Anteile

$280.50$34.00 (13.79%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

203.3 Anteile

96.7¢

98.3¢

$199.77$3.24 (1.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

203.3 Anteile

$199.77$3.24 (1.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

No 33.1¢

377.9 Anteile

33.1¢

48.5¢

$183.29$58.12 (46.44%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

No 33.1¢

377.9 Anteile

$183.29$58.12 (46.44%)

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 85.5¢

191.0 Anteile

85.5¢

73¢

$139.43-$23.94 (-14.65%)

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 85.5¢

191.0 Anteile

$139.43-$23.94 (-14.65%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?

No 91.2¢

120.0 Anteile

91.2¢

99.5¢

$119.39$10.00 (9.14%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?

No 91.2¢

120.0 Anteile

$119.39$10.00 (9.14%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 90¢

110.0 Anteile

90¢

98.5¢

$108.35$9.35 (9.44%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 90¢

110.0 Anteile

$108.35$9.35 (9.44%)

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 93¢

100.0 Anteile

93¢

93.2¢

$93.15$0.15 (0.16%)

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 93¢

100.0 Anteile

$93.15$0.15 (0.16%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84¢

100.0 Anteile

84¢

90.5¢

$90.50$6.50 (7.74%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84¢

100.0 Anteile

$90.50$6.50 (7.74%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 87.3¢

46.2 Anteile

87.3¢

97.4¢

$45.00$4.67 (11.57%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 87.3¢

46.2 Anteile

$45.00$4.67 (11.57%)

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 94¢

22.0 Anteile

94¢

97.8¢

$21.51$0.83 (3.99%)

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 94¢

22.0 Anteile

$21.51$0.83 (3.99%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 25.6¢

70.1 Anteile

25.6¢

23.5¢

$16.47-$1.44 (-8.03%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 25.6¢

70.1 Anteile

$16.47-$1.44 (-8.03%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

No 70¢

20.0 Anteile

70¢

72¢

$14.40$0.40 (2.86%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

No 70¢

20.0 Anteile

$14.40$0.40 (2.86%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 68¢

20.0 Anteile

68¢

57.5¢

$11.50-$2.10 (-15.44%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 68¢

20.0 Anteile

$11.50-$2.10 (-15.44%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 92¢

5.0 Anteile

92¢

98.2¢

$4.91$0.31 (6.74%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 92¢

5.0 Anteile

$4.91$0.31 (6.74%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes 2¢

1,486.4 Anteile

2¢

0¢

$0.00-$29.71 (-100%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes 2¢

1,486.4 Anteile

$0.00-$29.71 (-100%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 24.4¢

185.0 Anteile

24.4¢

0¢

$0.00-$45.21 (-100%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 24.4¢

185.0 Anteile

$0.00-$45.21 (-100%)

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 85¢

100.0 Anteile

85¢

0¢

$0.00-$85.00 (-100%)

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 85¢

100.0 Anteile

$0.00-$85.00 (-100%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?

No 99.6¢

30.0 Anteile

99.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$29.88 (-100%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?

No 99.6¢

30.0 Anteile

$0.00-$29.88 (-100%)