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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
83¢
81.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
98.8¢
100¢

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
75¢
81¢

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
62.9¢
77¢

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
95.5¢
100¢

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
80¢
79¢

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
36.1¢
70.5¢

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
40¢
55.5¢

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

USDS depeg by December 31?
