The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) has traded in a narrow 3.57%-3.72% band through mid-April 2026, with the April 17 rate at 3.65% and a 30-day average near 3.64%, reflecting ample repo market liquidity following tax season normalization on April 15. This stability mirrors the effective federal funds rate amid the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) pause on rate cuts, supported by cooling inflation data and resilient labor markets. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in persistent quarter-end pressures from Treasury issuance but low volatility risk, with the 90-day average at 3.67%. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—expected to hold rates steady—and impending CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases that could signal policy shifts before month-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$20,886 Vol.
↑3.76%
12%
↑3.74%
43%
$20,886 Vol.
↑3.76%
12%
↑3.74%
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a daily SOFR rate (%) equal to or above the listed value for any business day between April 1 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the SOFR rate is equal to or above the listed value during the specified period, or when SOFR data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026. If no data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026 by May 07, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Business day refers to any day treated as such by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a daily SOFR rate (%) equal to or above the listed value for any business day between April 1 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the SOFR rate is equal to or above the listed value during the specified period, or when SOFR data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026. If no data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026 by May 07, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Business day refers to any day treated as such by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) has traded in a narrow 3.57%-3.72% band through mid-April 2026, with the April 17 rate at 3.65% and a 30-day average near 3.64%, reflecting ample repo market liquidity following tax season normalization on April 15. This stability mirrors the effective federal funds rate amid the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) pause on rate cuts, supported by cooling inflation data and resilient labor markets. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in persistent quarter-end pressures from Treasury issuance but low volatility risk, with the 90-day average at 3.67%. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting—expected to hold rates steady—and impending CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases that could signal policy shifts before month-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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