Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations center on the disposition of Iran's estimated 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium as a condition for sanctions relief and limits on remaining enrichment capacity. Recent May 2026 reporting indicates Iranian officials agreed in principle to relinquish the material, potentially to the United States, following 2025 strikes on facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan and amid talks involving verification, third-country storage options, and broader diplomatic timelines. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final terms, Iranian domestic constraints, and IAEA monitoring requirements, resulting in low implied probabilities for acquisition by late spring and modestly higher odds by year-end. Scheduled diplomatic rounds and any announcements on stockpile movement within the resolution window could shift positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডআমেরিকা ইরানি সমৃদ্ধ ইউরেনিয়াম পায়...?
$24,412,453 Vol.
June 30
4%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
21%
$24,412,453 Vol.
June 30
4%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
21%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 7, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations center on the disposition of Iran's estimated 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium as a condition for sanctions relief and limits on remaining enrichment capacity. Recent May 2026 reporting indicates Iranian officials agreed in principle to relinquish the material, potentially to the United States, following 2025 strikes on facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan and amid talks involving verification, third-country storage options, and broader diplomatic timelines. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final terms, Iranian domestic constraints, and IAEA monitoring requirements, resulting in low implied probabilities for acquisition by late spring and modestly higher odds by year-end. Scheduled diplomatic rounds and any announcements on stockpile movement within the resolution window could shift positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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