Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Majlis in May 2026 for another one-year term with a strong majority of votes cast by lawmakers, extending his tenure that began in 2020. Primary drivers of any potential change include ongoing factional divisions within conservative ranks, particularly between his pragmatic negotiating stance on foreign policy and U.S. talks versus hardline resistance from groups like the Paydari Front. Committee leadership shifts in July 2026 highlighted these tensions but reinforced his position. The speaker role is filled through annual internal parliamentary votes influenced by alignments with the Supreme Leader and broader institutional dynamics, with the next cycle likely in 2027 absent early vacancies or extraordinary sessions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$40,792 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
7%
December 31
16%
$40,792 Vol.
September 30
$6,728 Vol.
7%
December 31
$10,478 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Majlis in May 2026 for another one-year term with a strong majority of votes cast by lawmakers, extending his tenure that began in 2020. Primary drivers of any potential change include ongoing factional divisions within conservative ranks, particularly between his pragmatic negotiating stance on foreign policy and U.S. talks versus hardline resistance from groups like the Paydari Front. Committee leadership shifts in July 2026 highlighted these tensions but reinforced his position. The speaker role is filled through annual internal parliamentary votes influenced by alignments with the Supreme Leader and broader institutional dynamics, with the next cycle likely in 2027 absent early vacancies or extraordinary sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$40,792শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Majlis in May 2026 for another one-year term with a strong majority of votes cast by lawmakers, extending his tenure that began in 2020. Primary drivers of any potential change include ongoing factional divisions within conservative ranks, particularly between his pragmatic negotiating stance on foreign policy and U.S. talks versus hardline resistance from groups like the Paydari Front. Committee leadership shifts in July 2026 highlighted these tensions but reinforced his position. The speaker role is filled through annual internal parliamentary votes influenced by alignments with the Supreme Leader and broader institutional dynamics, with the next cycle likely in 2027 absent early vacancies or extraordinary sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$40,792শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran's Majlis in May 2026 for another one-year term with a strong majority of votes cast by lawmakers, extending his tenure that began in 2020. Primary drivers of any potential change include ongoing factional divisions within conservative ranks, particularly between his pragmatic negotiating stance on foreign policy and U.S. talks versus hardline resistance from groups like the Paydari Front. Committee leadership shifts in July 2026 highlighted these tensions but reinforced his position. The speaker role is filled through annual internal parliamentary votes influenced by alignments with the Supreme Leader and broader institutional dynamics, with the next cycle likely in 2027 absent early vacancies or extraordinary sessions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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