Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 65.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 that award PQ 55-76 seats—above the 63-seat majority threshold—despite a tight popular vote tie with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) around 32% in the latest Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-28. PQ's dominance among francophone voters (39% vs. PLQ's 21%) and efficient distribution in first-past-the-post ridings bolster this edge, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 16% under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. PLQ's 26.5% odds stem from strength in anglophone areas, but CAQ's 8.5% highlights ongoing post-leadership recovery challenges amid low incumbency advantages. Five months out, shifts in turnout or debates could alter dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
কুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
পি.কিউ. 66%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 9%
পিসকিউ <1%
$483,568 Vol.
$483,568 Vol.

পি.কিউ.
66%

PLQ
27%

CAQ
9%

পিসকিউ
<1%

পিভিকিউ
<1%

কিউএস
<1%
পি.কিউ. 66%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 9%
পিসকিউ <1%
$483,568 Vol.
$483,568 Vol.

পি.কিউ.
66%

PLQ
27%

CAQ
9%

পিসকিউ
<1%

পিভিকিউ
<1%

কিউএস
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 65.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 that award PQ 55-76 seats—above the 63-seat majority threshold—despite a tight popular vote tie with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) around 32% in the latest Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-28. PQ's dominance among francophone voters (39% vs. PLQ's 21%) and efficient distribution in first-past-the-post ridings bolster this edge, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 16% under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. PLQ's 26.5% odds stem from strength in anglophone areas, but CAQ's 8.5% highlights ongoing post-leadership recovery challenges amid low incumbency advantages. Five months out, shifts in turnout or debates could alter dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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