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10% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$17,098 Vol.

10% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$17,098 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC. - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC. - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity. An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent OPEC+ production adjustments and reaffirmations of market stability commitments by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq have reinforced trader views that the organization will persist through 2026 despite the United Arab Emirates' May 1 exit. That departure, which freed Abu Dhabi from output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions tied to regional conflict, has reduced OPEC's market share but left the remaining group actively coordinating supply policy through virtual meetings and monthly reports. Oil demand forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed, yet the cartel continues releasing data and adjusting voluntary cuts, underscoring institutional inertia and the high costs of full dissolution. While further exits or escalated geopolitical shocks could test cohesion, historical precedent and the economic incentives for coordinated pricing support the market-implied odds favoring continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:

- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.

- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.

- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.

An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$17,098
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC. - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC. - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity. An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC. - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC. - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity. An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent OPEC+ production adjustments and reaffirmations of market stability commitments by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq have reinforced trader views that the organization will persist through 2026 despite the United Arab Emirates' May 1 exit. That departure, which freed Abu Dhabi from output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions tied to regional conflict, has reduced OPEC's market share but left the remaining group actively coordinating supply policy through virtual meetings and monthly reports. Oil demand forecasts for 2026 have been trimmed, yet the cartel continues releasing data and adjusting voluntary cuts, underscoring institutional inertia and the high costs of full dissolution. While further exits or escalated geopolitical shocks could test cohesion, historical precedent and the economic incentives for coordinated pricing support the market-implied odds favoring continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:

- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.

- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.

- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.

An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$17,098
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC. - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC. - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity. An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"OPEC dissolves in 2026?" হলো Polymarket-এ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটবে কিনা তার ভিত্তিতে "Yes" বা "No" শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 10%। যেমন, "Yes" 10¢-এ মূল্যায়িত হলে, মার্কেট সম্মিলিতভাবে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 10% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। ট্রেডাররা নতুন ডেভেলপমেন্ট ও তথ্যে প্রতিক্রিয়া জানালে এই অডস ক্রমাগত পরিবর্তিত হয়। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "OPEC dissolves in 2026?" মোট $17.1K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Apr 28, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"OPEC dissolves in 2026?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, শুধু বেছে নিন আপনি বিশ্বাস করেন উত্তর "Yes" নাকি "No"। প্রতিটি সাইডের একটি বর্তমান দাম আছে যা মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিফলিত করে। আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। যদি আপনি "Yes" শেয়ার কেনেন এবং ফলাফল "Yes" হিসেবে রেজলভ হয়, প্রতিটি শেয়ার $1 দেয়। "No" হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার $0 দেয়। রেজোলিউশনের আগে যেকোনো সময় শেয়ার বিক্রিও করতে পারেন।

"OPEC dissolves in 2026?"-এর বর্তমান সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 10%। মানে Polymarket ক্রাউড বর্তমানে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 10% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। এই অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডের ভিত্তিতে রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"OPEC dissolves in 2026?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।