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icon for May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

icon for May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Jun 10

Jun 30

Jun 10

Jun 30

1.10–1.14ºC 97.2%

<1.10ºC 1.5%

1.15–1.19ºC <1%

1.20–1.24ºC <1%

Polymarket

$192,174 Vol.

1.10–1.14ºC 97.2%

<1.10ºC 1.5%

1.15–1.19ºC <1%

1.20–1.24ºC <1%

Polymarket

$192,174 Vol.

<1.10ºC

$61,006 Vol.

2%

1.10–1.14ºC

$24,254 Vol.

97%

1.15–1.19ºC

$37,111 Vol.

1%

1.20–1.24ºC

$23,001 Vol.

<1%

1.25–1.29ºC

$20,400 Vol.

<1%

>1.29ºC

$26,403 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent La Niña conditions, following the strong 2024–2025 El Niño, have moderated global surface temperatures, with Copernicus and NOAA data for early 2026 months showing anomalies clustered near 1.1–1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. This pattern, combined with model consensus on continued neutral-to-cool ENSO influence through spring, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a May 2026 anomaly in the 1.10–1.14 °C range. Official monthly releases from Copernicus Climate Change Service and NOAA in the coming weeks represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning if observed values deviate from current forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ভলিউম
$192,174
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent La Niña conditions, following the strong 2024–2025 El Niño, have moderated global surface temperatures, with Copernicus and NOAA data for early 2026 months showing anomalies clustered near 1.1–1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. This pattern, combined with model consensus on continued neutral-to-cool ENSO influence through spring, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a May 2026 anomaly in the 1.10–1.14 °C range. Official monthly releases from Copernicus Climate Change Service and NOAA in the coming weeks represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning if observed values deviate from current forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ভলিউম
$192,174
শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)" হলো Polymarket-এ 6 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "1.10–1.14ºC" 97%-এ, তারপর "<1.10ºC" 2%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)" মোট $192.2K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Apr 27, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 6 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "1.10–1.14ºC" 97%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 97% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "<1.10ºC" 2%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।