Recent leaks confirming OpenAI's GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—has completed pretraining on March 24 and entered limited rollout to select users two days ago, with integration into GPT-5.4 Pro for real-world testing reported just 20 hours prior, have propelled 73.5% market-implied odds for an April 23 release. This follows typical 3-4 week post-training timelines and mirrors Polymarket traders' accurate forecast of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 launch last week, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game predictions. A recent OpenAI leadership shakeup adds slight uncertainty, but competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic favor swift deployment of this next-generation large language model, keeping April 30 at 9.2% and "no release by April 30" minimal at 5.4%. Watch for announcements ahead of the imminent resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGPT-5.5 released on...?
GPT-5.5 released on...?
April 23 74%
April 30 9.2%
April 22 6.1%
No release by April 30 5.4%
$201,777 Vol.
$201,777 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 20
<1%
April 21
5%
April 22
6%
April 23
74%
April 24
1%
April 25
2%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
1%
April 29
1%
April 30
9%
No release by April 30
5%
April 23 74%
April 30 9.2%
April 22 6.1%
No release by April 30 5.4%
$201,777 Vol.
$201,777 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 20
$5,443 Vol.
<1%
April 21
$10,675 Vol.
5%
April 22
$10,108 Vol.
6%
April 23
$50,852 Vol.
74%
April 24
$4,853 Vol.
1%
April 25
$3,629 Vol.
2%
April 26
$3,596 Vol.
<1%
April 27
$4,180 Vol.
<1%
April 28
$5,036 Vol.
1%
April 29
$5,009 Vol.
1%
April 30
$9,370 Vol.
9%
No release by April 30
$20,179 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks confirming OpenAI's GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—has completed pretraining on March 24 and entered limited rollout to select users two days ago, with integration into GPT-5.4 Pro for real-world testing reported just 20 hours prior, have propelled 73.5% market-implied odds for an April 23 release. This follows typical 3-4 week post-training timelines and mirrors Polymarket traders' accurate forecast of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 launch last week, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game predictions. A recent OpenAI leadership shakeup adds slight uncertainty, but competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic favor swift deployment of this next-generation large language model, keeping April 30 at 9.2% and "no release by April 30" minimal at 5.4%. Watch for announcements ahead of the imminent resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$201,777শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks confirming OpenAI's GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—has completed pretraining on March 24 and entered limited rollout to select users two days ago, with integration into GPT-5.4 Pro for real-world testing reported just 20 hours prior, have propelled 73.5% market-implied odds for an April 23 release. This follows typical 3-4 week post-training timelines and mirrors Polymarket traders' accurate forecast of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 launch last week, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game predictions. A recent OpenAI leadership shakeup adds slight uncertainty, but competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic favor swift deployment of this next-generation large language model, keeping April 30 at 9.2% and "no release by April 30" minimal at 5.4%. Watch for announcements ahead of the imminent resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$201,777শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks confirming OpenAI's GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—has completed pretraining on March 24 and entered limited rollout to select users two days ago, with integration into GPT-5.4 Pro for real-world testing reported just 20 hours prior, have propelled 73.5% market-implied odds for an April 23 release. This follows typical 3-4 week post-training timelines and mirrors Polymarket traders' accurate forecast of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 launch last week, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game predictions. A recent OpenAI leadership shakeup adds slight uncertainty, but competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic favor swift deployment of this next-generation large language model, keeping April 30 at 9.2% and "no release by April 30" minimal at 5.4%. Watch for announcements ahead of the imminent resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা