Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 55%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,161 Vol.
$206,161 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
20%
>$84
55%
>$84 55%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,161 Vol.
$206,161 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$21,291 Vol.
<1%
$42-$49
$10,192 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$12,160 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$14,167 Vol.
1%
$63-$70
$27,322 Vol.
3%
$70-$77
$16,940 Vol.
12%
$77-$84
$17,111 Vol.
20%
>$84
$86,979 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$206,161শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ভলিউম
$206,161শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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