Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial proceedings on felony charges including attempted murder from the May 2026 Clarksville courthouse shooting, with the case bound over to a grand jury but no trial date set as of early October. The market’s 59% implied probability on “No” conviction by the July 2027 deadline stems primarily from Tennessee’s typical 12-to-24-month timeline for violent felony cases, compounded by ongoing grand jury review, bond conditions including house arrest, and procedural delays. Recent developments such as Eatherly’s August release on $1 million bond and separate misdemeanor matters moving forward have reinforced trader expectations that a full resolution, let alone conviction, is unlikely within the contract window.