Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia. These measures, officially targeting disloyalty and discipline violations, have addressed circulating rumors of factional resistance without evidence of organized coup plots emerging in the opaque one-party system. Trader consensus at 95.8% on “No” aligns with the historical absence of successful challenges to centralized leadership since 2012 and the lack of public instability signals ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Acute economic pressures, sudden leadership health developments, or undetected elite fractures remain the primary scenarios that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$129,839 Vol.
$129,839 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$129,839 Vol.
$129,839 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia. These measures, officially targeting disloyalty and discipline violations, have addressed circulating rumors of factional resistance without evidence of organized coup plots emerging in the opaque one-party system. Trader consensus at 95.8% on “No” aligns with the historical absence of successful challenges to centralized leadership since 2012 and the lack of public instability signals ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Acute economic pressures, sudden leadership health developments, or undetected elite fractures remain the primary scenarios that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$129,839শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia. These measures, officially targeting disloyalty and discipline violations, have addressed circulating rumors of factional resistance without evidence of organized coup plots emerging in the opaque one-party system. Trader consensus at 95.8% on “No” aligns with the historical absence of successful challenges to centralized leadership since 2012 and the lack of public instability signals ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Acute economic pressures, sudden leadership health developments, or undetected elite fractures remain the primary scenarios that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$129,839শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and military through repeated anti-corruption purges of senior PLA officers, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia. These measures, officially targeting disloyalty and discipline violations, have addressed circulating rumors of factional resistance without evidence of organized coup plots emerging in the opaque one-party system. Trader consensus at 95.8% on “No” aligns with the historical absence of successful challenges to centralized leadership since 2012 and the lack of public instability signals ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Acute economic pressures, sudden leadership health developments, or undetected elite fractures remain the primary scenarios that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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