Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$117,078 Vol.
$117,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$117,078 Vol.
$117,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$117,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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