Francesca Hong leads recent Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary polling by roughly 20 points ahead of a fragmented field that includes Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (who withdrew), and others ahead of the August 11 primary. Multiple withdrawals, re-entries, and fundraising shifts—including Crowley outraising Hong in late July—have defined a volatile race marked by establishment concerns over Hong’s democratic socialist platform versus her strong base turnout in Madison and progressive strongholds. These dynamics underpin trader pricing that places the largest probabilities on Hong prevailing by 20–30 points or an unlisted margin captured in the “Other” bucket, while assigning minimal weight to upsets by Crowley or Barnes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHong 20–25% 29.3%
Hong 25–30% 19%
Hong 15–20% 14.8%
Hong 10–15% 13.3%
$111,233 Vol.
$111,233 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Hong 30%+
12%
Hong 25–30%
19%
Hong 20–25%
29%
Hong 15–20%
15%
Hong 10–15%
11%
Hong 5–10%
5%
Hong <5%
8%
Crowley wins
7%
Barnes wins
<1%
Hong 20–25% 29.3%
Hong 25–30% 19%
Hong 15–20% 14.8%
Hong 10–15% 13.3%
$111,233 Vol.
$111,233 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Hong 30%+
$60,401 Vol.
12%
Hong 25–30%
$31,541 Vol.
19%
Hong 20–25%
$3,602 Vol.
29%
Hong 15–20%
$1,054 Vol.
15%
Hong 10–15%
$2,602 Vol.
11%
Hong 5–10%
$8,249 Vol.
5%
Hong <5%
$1,257 Vol.
8%
Crowley wins
$1,869 Vol.
7%
Barnes wins
$657 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Francesca Hong leads recent Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary polling by roughly 20 points ahead of a fragmented field that includes Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (who withdrew), and others ahead of the August 11 primary. Multiple withdrawals, re-entries, and fundraising shifts—including Crowley outraising Hong in late July—have defined a volatile race marked by establishment concerns over Hong’s democratic socialist platform versus her strong base turnout in Madison and progressive strongholds. These dynamics underpin trader pricing that places the largest probabilities on Hong prevailing by 20–30 points or an unlisted margin captured in the “Other” bucket, while assigning minimal weight to upsets by Crowley or Barnes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$111,233শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Francesca Hong leads recent Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary polling by roughly 20 points ahead of a fragmented field that includes Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (who withdrew), and others ahead of the August 11 primary. Multiple withdrawals, re-entries, and fundraising shifts—including Crowley outraising Hong in late July—have defined a volatile race marked by establishment concerns over Hong’s democratic socialist platform versus her strong base turnout in Madison and progressive strongholds. These dynamics underpin trader pricing that places the largest probabilities on Hong prevailing by 20–30 points or an unlisted margin captured in the “Other” bucket, while assigning minimal weight to upsets by Crowley or Barnes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ভলিউম
$111,233শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Francesca Hong leads recent Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary polling by roughly 20 points ahead of a fragmented field that includes Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (who withdrew), and others ahead of the August 11 primary. Multiple withdrawals, re-entries, and fundraising shifts—including Crowley outraising Hong in late July—have defined a volatile race marked by establishment concerns over Hong’s democratic socialist platform versus her strong base turnout in Madison and progressive strongholds. These dynamics underpin trader pricing that places the largest probabilities on Hong prevailing by 20–30 points or an unlisted margin captured in the “Other” bucket, while assigning minimal weight to upsets by Crowley or Barnes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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