Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Time 2025 Person of the Year card icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Artificial Intelligence

49%

Jensen Huang

18%

Artificial Intelligence

49%

Jensen Huang

18%

$32m Vol.

Fed decision in December? card icon

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

97%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

97%

$328m Vol.

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9? card icon

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

America / American 15+ times

86%

Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times

86%

America / American 15+ times

86%

Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times

86%

$104k Vol.

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? card icon

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

December 10

3%

December 11

83%

December 10

3%

December 11

83%

$86k Vol.

FC Internazionale Milano

49%

Liverpool FC

27%

$996k Vol.

•UCL• 8:00 PM

FC Barcelona

86%

Eintracht Frankfurt

6%

$676k Vol.

•UCL• 8:00 PM

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?

420-439

15%

440-459

17%

420-439

15%

440-459

17%

$6m Vol.

Honduras Presidential Election card icon

Honduras Presidential Election

Nasry "Tito" Asfura

96%

Salvador Nasralla

3%

Nasry "Tito" Asfura

96%

Salvador Nasralla

3%

$20m Vol.

Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? card icon

Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

86%

chance

$27k Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? card icon

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

21%

chance

$35k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

4%

chance

$51m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

12%

March 31, 2026

33%

December 31, 2025

12%

March 31, 2026

33%

$23m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

74%

Kevin Warsh

12%

Kevin Hassett

74%

Kevin Warsh

12%

$21m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

19%

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

19%

$53k Vol.

College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

$3m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

$35m Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

9%

Anthony Joshua

85%

Jake Paul

9%

Anthony Joshua

85%

$767k Vol.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 9

2%

December 13

89%

December 9

2%

December 13

89%

$1m Vol.

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

27%

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

27%

$510k Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 110,000

16%

↑ 105,000

25%

↑ 110,000

16%

↑ 105,000

25%

$95m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

16%

England

13%

Spain

16%

England

13%

$16m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

64%

December 31

78%

December 19

64%

December 31

78%

$3m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 9? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 9?

94,000

100%

96,000

<1%

94,000

100%

96,000

<1%

$4m Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

December 8

100%

December 11

28%

December 8

100%

December 11

28%

$7m Vol.

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