Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

92%

March 31

$28.3K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

ESPYS: Best Driver

ESPYS: Best Driver

Max Verstappen

$6.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

-1

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$374K 交易量

$18.8K Liq.

59

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$931K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

F1: Action of the Year

F1: Action of the Year

40%

Max Verstappen

$7.0K 交易量

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

43%

↓ 39000

$884 交易量

$840 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

47%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $4

$595K 交易量

$35.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

52%

Norway

$0 交易量

$26 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?

98%

↓ $390

$7.1K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?

36%

↓ $353

$267K 交易量

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

78%

Italy

$2M 交易量

$139K Liq.

56

Ends in 13 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$74.1K 交易量

$12.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

44%

George Russell

$68M 交易量

$3M today

$11M Liq.

139

Ends in 8 months

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

51%

Royal Challengers Bangalore

$21 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

73%

↑ 46

$613K 交易量

$133K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

44%

>$600M

$14M 交易量

$433K Liq.

255

Ends in 3 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 0.40

$64.2K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2026

$432K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

27

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K 交易量

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 纳斯卡 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 100 个活跃的 纳斯卡 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $88.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"F1 Drivers' Champion",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"F1 Drivers' Champion",市场目前认为 George Russell 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 纳斯卡 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。