David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于克劳利 <1% 100.0%
洪 6%+ <1%
洪 5-6% <1%
洪 4-5% <1%
$110,072 交易量
$110,072 交易量
2026-08-13
洪 6%+
否
洪 5-6%
否
洪 4-5%
否
洪 3-4%
否
洪领先2-3%
否
洪 1-2%
否
洪 <1%
否
克劳利 <1%
是
克劳利 1–2%
否
Crowley 2-3%
否
克劳利 3–4%
否
克劳利4-5%
否
克劳利 5-6%
否
克劳利 6%+
否
克劳利 <1% 100.0%
洪 6%+ <1%
洪 5-6% <1%
洪 4-5% <1%
$110,072 交易量
$110,072 交易量
2026-08-13
洪 6%+
$13,198 交易量
否
洪 5-6%
$3,714 交易量
否
洪 4-5%
$3,377 交易量
否
洪 3-4%
$11,011 交易量
否
洪领先2-3%
$2,738 交易量
否
洪 1-2%
$8,472 交易量
否
洪 <1%
$4,537 交易量
否
克劳利 <1%
$19,064 交易量
是
克劳利 1–2%
$14,039 交易量
否
Crowley 2-3%
$9,988 交易量
否
克劳利 3–4%
$10,234 交易量
否
克劳利4-5%
$2,286 交易量
否
克劳利 5-6%
$3,312 交易量
否
克劳利 6%+
$4,102 交易量
否
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$110,072结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$110,072结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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