**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$8,849 交易量
↑ 210万
是
↑ 200万
是
↓ 180万
否
↓ 170万
否
↓ 160万
否
$8,849 交易量
↑ 210万
是
↑ 200万
是
↓ 180万
否
↓ 170万
否
↓ 160万
否
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题