The UAE's continued full participation in GCC summits, joint diplomatic statements on regional security, and coordinated economic initiatives through mid-2026 underpin the 90.5% implied probability against departure. Despite the April 2026 OPEC exit that exposed policy divergences with Saudi Arabia over oil output and regional strategy, no official UAE announcements, legislative actions, or public statements have referenced GCC withdrawal. Ongoing bilateral and multilateral cooperation on trade agreements, responses to external threats, and institutional forums further signals sustained institutional commitment, with no scheduled events or structural disputes projected to alter membership status before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$91,489 交易量
$91,489 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$91,489 交易量
$91,489 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's continued full participation in GCC summits, joint diplomatic statements on regional security, and coordinated economic initiatives through mid-2026 underpin the 90.5% implied probability against departure. Despite the April 2026 OPEC exit that exposed policy divergences with Saudi Arabia over oil output and regional strategy, no official UAE announcements, legislative actions, or public statements have referenced GCC withdrawal. Ongoing bilateral and multilateral cooperation on trade agreements, responses to external threats, and institutional forums further signals sustained institutional commitment, with no scheduled events or structural disputes projected to alter membership status before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
交易量
$91,489结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's continued full participation in GCC summits, joint diplomatic statements on regional security, and coordinated economic initiatives through mid-2026 underpin the 90.5% implied probability against departure. Despite the April 2026 OPEC exit that exposed policy divergences with Saudi Arabia over oil output and regional strategy, no official UAE announcements, legislative actions, or public statements have referenced GCC withdrawal. Ongoing bilateral and multilateral cooperation on trade agreements, responses to external threats, and institutional forums further signals sustained institutional commitment, with no scheduled events or structural disputes projected to alter membership status before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$91,489结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE's continued full participation in GCC summits, joint diplomatic statements on regional security, and coordinated economic initiatives through mid-2026 underpin the 90.5% implied probability against departure. Despite the April 2026 OPEC exit that exposed policy divergences with Saudi Arabia over oil output and regional strategy, no official UAE announcements, legislative actions, or public statements have referenced GCC withdrawal. Ongoing bilateral and multilateral cooperation on trade agreements, responses to external threats, and institutional forums further signals sustained institutional commitment, with no scheduled events or structural disputes projected to alter membership status before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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