**No** holds a 95.2% implied probability because no official schedule, announcement, or credible reporting indicates a Trump visit to Gaza before year-end. The U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan and Board of Peace reconstruction efforts remain stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli withdrawal conditions, and slow rollout of even a limited southern pilot project not expected before late 2026. Security conditions inside the territory stay fragile, with an international stabilization force not yet deployed and governance transitioning to a technocratic committee still incomplete. Trump’s recent travel has focused on domestic appearances and a Dublin summit, while past expressions of interest in visiting have not translated into concrete plans amid these constraints. A breakthrough on verified disarmament, rapid security improvements, or an unscheduled regional diplomatic event could still open a narrow window for a visit in the final months of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
5% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** holds a 95.2% implied probability because no official schedule, announcement, or credible reporting indicates a Trump visit to Gaza before year-end. The U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan and Board of Peace reconstruction efforts remain stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli withdrawal conditions, and slow rollout of even a limited southern pilot project not expected before late 2026. Security conditions inside the territory stay fragile, with an international stabilization force not yet deployed and governance transitioning to a technocratic committee still incomplete. Trump’s recent travel has focused on domestic appearances and a Dublin summit, while past expressions of interest in visiting have not translated into concrete plans amid these constraints. A breakthrough on verified disarmament, rapid security improvements, or an unscheduled regional diplomatic event could still open a narrow window for a visit in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
交易量
$3,168结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** holds a 95.2% implied probability because no official schedule, announcement, or credible reporting indicates a Trump visit to Gaza before year-end. The U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan and Board of Peace reconstruction efforts remain stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli withdrawal conditions, and slow rollout of even a limited southern pilot project not expected before late 2026. Security conditions inside the territory stay fragile, with an international stabilization force not yet deployed and governance transitioning to a technocratic committee still incomplete. Trump’s recent travel has focused on domestic appearances and a Dublin summit, while past expressions of interest in visiting have not translated into concrete plans amid these constraints. A breakthrough on verified disarmament, rapid security improvements, or an unscheduled regional diplomatic event could still open a narrow window for a visit in the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,168结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET**No** holds a 95.2% implied probability because no official schedule, announcement, or credible reporting indicates a Trump visit to Gaza before year-end. The U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan and Board of Peace reconstruction efforts remain stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli withdrawal conditions, and slow rollout of even a limited southern pilot project not expected before late 2026. Security conditions inside the territory stay fragile, with an international stabilization force not yet deployed and governance transitioning to a technocratic committee still incomplete. Trump’s recent travel has focused on domestic appearances and a Dublin summit, while past expressions of interest in visiting have not translated into concrete plans amid these constraints. A breakthrough on verified disarmament, rapid security improvements, or an unscheduled regional diplomatic event could still open a narrow window for a visit in the final months of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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