Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$20,546 交易量
$20,546 交易量
2026-06-20
是
$20,546 交易量
$20,546 交易量
2026-06-20
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
交易量
$20,546结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
交易量
$20,546结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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