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icon for 特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?

特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?

icon for 特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?

特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?

$25,305 交易量

2026-07-01
Polymarket

$25,305 交易量

Polymarket

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature YMCA dance has become a recurring cultural staple at rallies, dinners, and White House events, driving trader interest in daily resolution markets that hinge on verifiable public video. Recent performances include extended sets on the South Lawn during a May 2026 Presidential Fitness event with students and at the NRCC dinner, reinforcing momentum for yes outcomes at high-energy gatherings. Traders monitor his packed schedule of appearances, from UFC events to official ceremonies, where audience enthusiasm often prompts the move. Resolution relies strictly on published footage, creating volatility around quieter days or private settings. Upcoming catalysts like major political or sports-related functions could shift odds quickly based on his public mood and event tone.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
交易量
$25,305
结束日期
2026-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature YMCA dance has become a recurring cultural staple at rallies, dinners, and White House events, driving trader interest in daily resolution markets that hinge on verifiable public video. Recent performances include extended sets on the South Lawn during a May 2026 Presidential Fitness event with students and at the NRCC dinner, reinforcing momentum for yes outcomes at high-energy gatherings. Traders monitor his packed schedule of appearances, from UFC events to official ceremonies, where audience enthusiasm often prompts the move. Resolution relies strictly on published footage, creating volatility around quieter days or private settings. Upcoming catalysts like major political or sports-related functions could shift odds quickly based on his public mood and event tone.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
交易量
$25,305
结束日期
2026-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 28 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月5日",概率为 100%,其次是"6月24日",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?"已产生 $25.3K 的总交易量(自Jun 2, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 28 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?"的当前领先者是"6月5日",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"6月24日",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普会跳舞吗…… ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。