**Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing judicial investigation opened in mid-May 2026 by the Audiencia Nacional for alleged influence peddling, money laundering, criminal organization membership, and related offenses tied to the 2021 public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** Police conducted office searches and related raids around May 19, and he was summoned to testify on June 2. He has denied all wrongdoing and described the case as politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been issued or executed in the weeks since the investigation widened. Spanish legal proceedings against former senior officials typically involve extended investigative phases, formal charges, and procedural steps before any detention occurs, especially absent flight risk or new evidence of obstruction. With the June 30 resolution deadline now only weeks away and no reported escalation from authorities, traders assign an 88% probability to no arrest occurring, reflecting the established pace and requirements of the Spanish judicial system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
$34,772 交易量
$34,772 交易量
2026-06-30
$34,772 交易量
$34,772 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing judicial investigation opened in mid-May 2026 by the Audiencia Nacional for alleged influence peddling, money laundering, criminal organization membership, and related offenses tied to the 2021 public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** Police conducted office searches and related raids around May 19, and he was summoned to testify on June 2. He has denied all wrongdoing and described the case as politically motivated.
No arrest warrant has been issued or executed in the weeks since the investigation widened. Spanish legal proceedings against former senior officials typically involve extended investigative phases, formal charges, and procedural steps before any detention occurs, especially absent flight risk or new evidence of obstruction. With the June 30 resolution deadline now only weeks away and no reported escalation from authorities, traders assign an 88% probability to no arrest occurring, reflecting the established pace and requirements of the Spanish judicial system.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$34,772结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing judicial investigation opened in mid-May 2026 by the Audiencia Nacional for alleged influence peddling, money laundering, criminal organization membership, and related offenses tied to the 2021 public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** Police conducted office searches and related raids around May 19, and he was summoned to testify on June 2. He has denied all wrongdoing and described the case as politically motivated.
No arrest warrant has been issued or executed in the weeks since the investigation widened. Spanish legal proceedings against former senior officials typically involve extended investigative phases, formal charges, and procedural steps before any detention occurs, especially absent flight risk or new evidence of obstruction. With the June 30 resolution deadline now only weeks away and no reported escalation from authorities, traders assign an 88% probability to no arrest occurring, reflecting the established pace and requirements of the Spanish judicial system.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$34,772结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing judicial investigation opened in mid-May 2026 by the Audiencia Nacional for alleged influence peddling, money laundering, criminal organization membership, and related offenses tied to the 2021 public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** Police conducted office searches and related raids around May 19, and he was summoned to testify on June 2. He has denied all wrongdoing and described the case as politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been issued or executed in the weeks since the investigation widened. Spanish legal proceedings against former senior officials typically involve extended investigative phases, formal charges, and procedural steps before any detention occurs, especially absent flight risk or new evidence of obstruction. With the June 30 resolution deadline now only weeks away and no reported escalation from authorities, traders assign an 88% probability to no arrest occurring, reflecting the established pace and requirements of the Spanish judicial system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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