Skip to main content
icon for 夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

icon for 夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

22% 概率
Polymarket

$10,534 交易量

22% 概率
Polymarket

$10,534 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a 308-117 bipartisan margin, advancing a measure to establish permanent daylight saving time nationwide unless states opt out. President Trump has publicly backed the bill and urged Senate action. However, the legislation has only been referred to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee with no further votes or floor consideration reported. Multiple competing proposals, including measures favoring permanent standard time, remain active, while past congressional efforts have stalled despite similar House momentum. With the 2026 calendar year already underway and no clear path to enactment or presidential signature before year-end deadlines, traders assign the “No” outcome a clear majority probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$10,534
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a 308-117 bipartisan margin, advancing a measure to establish permanent daylight saving time nationwide unless states opt out. President Trump has publicly backed the bill and urged Senate action. However, the legislation has only been referred to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee with no further votes or floor consideration reported. Multiple competing proposals, including measures favoring permanent standard time, remain active, while past congressional efforts have stalled despite similar House momentum. With the 2026 calendar year already underway and no clear path to enactment or presidential signature before year-end deadlines, traders assign the “No” outcome a clear majority probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$10,534
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年美国会永久实行夏令时吗?",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 22¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"已产生 $10.5K 的总交易量(自Jul 15, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"的当前领先者是"2026年美国会永久实行夏令时吗?",概率为 22%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。