France, Spain, England, Argentina, and Brazil currently occupy the top tier of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +380 to +1100, reflecting their established depth, recent form, and star power including Mbappé, Yamal, Bellingham, and Messi. Portugal stands as the strongest first-time contender near +750–850 but trails the leaders, while the Netherlands and Norway sit further back. Early group-stage results have reinforced this hierarchy, with favorites advancing comfortably and no major shocks elevating unproven sides. The 48-team format and expanded knockout path still favor squads with proven World Cup pedigrees and squad experience over emerging challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<1% 概率
$1,694,607 交易量
$1,694,607 交易量
2026-07-19
<1% 概率
$1,694,607 交易量
$1,694,607 交易量
2026-07-19
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France, Spain, England, Argentina, and Brazil currently occupy the top tier of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +380 to +1100, reflecting their established depth, recent form, and star power including Mbappé, Yamal, Bellingham, and Messi. Portugal stands as the strongest first-time contender near +750–850 but trails the leaders, while the Netherlands and Norway sit further back. Early group-stage results have reinforced this hierarchy, with favorites advancing comfortably and no major shocks elevating unproven sides. The 48-team format and expanded knockout path still favor squads with proven World Cup pedigrees and squad experience over emerging challengers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,694,607结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France, Spain, England, Argentina, and Brazil currently occupy the top tier of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +380 to +1100, reflecting their established depth, recent form, and star power including Mbappé, Yamal, Bellingham, and Messi. Portugal stands as the strongest first-time contender near +750–850 but trails the leaders, while the Netherlands and Norway sit further back. Early group-stage results have reinforced this hierarchy, with favorites advancing comfortably and no major shocks elevating unproven sides. The 48-team format and expanded knockout path still favor squads with proven World Cup pedigrees and squad experience over emerging challengers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,694,607结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
France, Spain, England, Argentina, and Brazil currently occupy the top tier of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +380 to +1100, reflecting their established depth, recent form, and star power including Mbappé, Yamal, Bellingham, and Messi. Portugal stands as the strongest first-time contender near +750–850 but trails the leaders, while the Netherlands and Norway sit further back. Early group-stage results have reinforced this hierarchy, with favorites advancing comfortably and no major shocks elevating unproven sides. The 48-team format and expanded knockout path still favor squads with proven World Cup pedigrees and squad experience over emerging challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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