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icon for Who will replace Boris Johnson?

Who will replace Boris Johnson?

icon for Who will replace Boris Johnson?

Who will replace Boris Johnson?

$226,670 交易量

2022-12-30
Polymarket

$226,670 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak

$145,420 交易量

No

icon for Penny Mordaunt

Penny Mordaunt

$45,487 交易量

No

icon for Liz Truss

Liz Truss

$31,358 交易量

Yes

icon for Tom Tugendhat

Tom Tugendhat

$3,554 交易量

No

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$851 交易量

No

In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Penny Mordaunt wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Penny Mordaunt announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Penny Mordaunt is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Penny Mordaunt from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Penny Mordaunt. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Liz Truss wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Liz Truss announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Liz Truss is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Liz Truss from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Liz Truss. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Tugendhat wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Tom Tugendhat announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Tom Tugendhat is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Tom Tugendhat from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Tom Tugendhat. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Kemi Badenoch announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Kemi Badenoch is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Kemi Badenoch from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Kemi Badenoch. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.

In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen.

The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022.

---

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No."

This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak.

Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.
In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.
交易量
$226,670
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Penny Mordaunt wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Penny Mordaunt announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Penny Mordaunt is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Penny Mordaunt from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Penny Mordaunt. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Liz Truss wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Liz Truss announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Liz Truss is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Liz Truss from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Liz Truss. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Tugendhat wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Tom Tugendhat announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Tom Tugendhat is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Tom Tugendhat from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Tom Tugendhat. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Kemi Badenoch announces she is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Kemi Badenoch is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Kemi Badenoch from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Kemi Badenoch. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.

In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen.

The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022.

---

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No."

This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak.

Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.
In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned. This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis. As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen. The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022. --- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak wins the election to become the Conservative Party leader succeeding Boris Johnson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. The primary resolution source will be official government sources reporting the result of the election; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the successor to Boris Johnson is not known by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No." This market may only resolve to "No" once Rishi Sunak announces he is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or the Conservative party announces Rishi Sunak is no longer in contention for head of the Conservative Party, or election results eliminate Rishi Sunak from the running for leader of the Conservative Party, or the next leader of the Conservative Party after Boris Johnson is officially selected and it is not Rishi Sunak. Please note that acting leaderships do not count toward the resolution of this market.
交易量
$226,670
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will replace Boris Johnson?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Liz Truss",概率为 100%,其次是"Rishi Sunak",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will replace Boris Johnson?"已产生 $226.7K 的总交易量(自Jul 11, 2022市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will replace Boris Johnson?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will replace Boris Johnson?"的当前领先者是"Liz Truss",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Rishi Sunak",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will replace Boris Johnson?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。