No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, which underpins the 50% price on "Other" as traders price in the possibility of unlisted figures or delayed entries from the broader field. Andy Beshear's 28.5% share reflects his positioning as a moderate governor from a Republican-leaning state who has offered repeated public hints about exploring a run, potentially positioning him for an early announcement ahead of the November midterms. Gavin Newsom at 20% draws from his high national profile and California executive record, though recent scrutiny of state policies tempers momentum. Pete Buttigieg's recent comments signaling he is "more inclined than not" to run, alongside earlier signals from Kamala Harris, contribute to their mid-tier pricing, while DNC calendar changes favoring South Carolina first introduce variables that could accelerate announcements from candidates building coalitions in early states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·贝希尔 29%
加文·纽森 20.0%
卡玛拉·哈里斯 13%
皮特·布蒂吉格 12%
最新
最新
2028-12-31
安迪·贝希尔
29%
加文·纽森
20%
卡玛拉·哈里斯
13%
皮特·布蒂吉格
12%
罗·卡纳
9%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
8%
乔什·夏皮罗
4%
乔恩·奥索夫
2%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
2%
乔恩·斯图尔特
<1%
史蒂芬·A·史密斯
<1%
安迪·贝希尔 29%
加文·纽森 20.0%
卡玛拉·哈里斯 13%
皮特·布蒂吉格 12%
最新
最新
2028-12-31
安迪·贝希尔
$1,880 交易量
29%
加文·纽森
$2,758 交易量
20%
卡玛拉·哈里斯
$504 交易量
13%
皮特·布蒂吉格
$580 交易量
12%
罗·卡纳
$383 交易量
9%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
$512 交易量
8%
乔什·夏皮罗
$306 交易量
4%
乔恩·奥索夫
$306 交易量
2%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
$391 交易量
2%
乔恩·斯图尔特
$364 交易量
<1%
史蒂芬·A·史密斯
$284 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, which underpins the 50% price on "Other" as traders price in the possibility of unlisted figures or delayed entries from the broader field. Andy Beshear's 28.5% share reflects his positioning as a moderate governor from a Republican-leaning state who has offered repeated public hints about exploring a run, potentially positioning him for an early announcement ahead of the November midterms. Gavin Newsom at 20% draws from his high national profile and California executive record, though recent scrutiny of state policies tempers momentum. Pete Buttigieg's recent comments signaling he is "more inclined than not" to run, alongside earlier signals from Kamala Harris, contribute to their mid-tier pricing, while DNC calendar changes favoring South Carolina first introduce variables that could accelerate announcements from candidates building coalitions in early states.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
交易量
$8,270结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, which underpins the 50% price on "Other" as traders price in the possibility of unlisted figures or delayed entries from the broader field. Andy Beshear's 28.5% share reflects his positioning as a moderate governor from a Republican-leaning state who has offered repeated public hints about exploring a run, potentially positioning him for an early announcement ahead of the November midterms. Gavin Newsom at 20% draws from his high national profile and California executive record, though recent scrutiny of state policies tempers momentum. Pete Buttigieg's recent comments signaling he is "more inclined than not" to run, alongside earlier signals from Kamala Harris, contribute to their mid-tier pricing, while DNC calendar changes favoring South Carolina first introduce variables that could accelerate announcements from candidates building coalitions in early states.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,270结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, which underpins the 50% price on "Other" as traders price in the possibility of unlisted figures or delayed entries from the broader field. Andy Beshear's 28.5% share reflects his positioning as a moderate governor from a Republican-leaning state who has offered repeated public hints about exploring a run, potentially positioning him for an early announcement ahead of the November midterms. Gavin Newsom at 20% draws from his high national profile and California executive record, though recent scrutiny of state policies tempers momentum. Pete Buttigieg's recent comments signaling he is "more inclined than not" to run, alongside earlier signals from Kamala Harris, contribute to their mid-tier pricing, while DNC calendar changes favoring South Carolina first introduce variables that could accelerate announcements from candidates building coalitions in early states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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