Google’s Veo 3.1 leads with 73% implied probability due to its exclusive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and strong cinematic prompt adherence, features integrated into Google Workspace and Vids that differentiate it from rivals. Recent 2026 updates, including January’s Veo 3.1 release and audio-focused refinements, have reinforced trader consensus on its edge in production-quality output. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (July 2026) offers competitive multi-shot editing and 30-second 4K clips at 25.7%, yet lags in native audio consistency. Other models from Alibaba, MiniMax, and Kling trail sharply as benchmarks and blind tests highlight Veo’s practical advantages heading into the late-August resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Google 73%
字节跳动 25.7%
MiniMax <1%
腾讯 <1%
$21,248 交易量
$21,248 交易量
2026-08-31
73%
字节跳动
26%
MiniMax
<1%
腾讯
<1%
Meta
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
<1%
Google 73%
字节跳动 25.7%
MiniMax <1%
腾讯 <1%
$21,248 交易量
$21,248 交易量
2026-08-31
$9,374 交易量
73%
字节跳动
$2,276 交易量
26%
MiniMax
$879 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$775 交易量
<1%
Meta
$520 交易量
<1%
OpenAI
$465 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$478 交易量
<1%
Pixverse
$452 交易量
<1%
Runway
$445 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$425 交易量
<1%
Pruna
$452 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$537 交易量
<1%
Kandinsky
$442 交易量
<1%
Lightricks
$665 交易量
<1%
Pika
$497 交易量
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,043 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$525 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo 3.1 leads with 73% implied probability due to its exclusive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and strong cinematic prompt adherence, features integrated into Google Workspace and Vids that differentiate it from rivals. Recent 2026 updates, including January’s Veo 3.1 release and audio-focused refinements, have reinforced trader consensus on its edge in production-quality output. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (July 2026) offers competitive multi-shot editing and 30-second 4K clips at 25.7%, yet lags in native audio consistency. Other models from Alibaba, MiniMax, and Kling trail sharply as benchmarks and blind tests highlight Veo’s practical advantages heading into the late-August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
交易量
$21,248结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo 3.1 leads with 73% implied probability due to its exclusive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and strong cinematic prompt adherence, features integrated into Google Workspace and Vids that differentiate it from rivals. Recent 2026 updates, including January’s Veo 3.1 release and audio-focused refinements, have reinforced trader consensus on its edge in production-quality output. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (July 2026) offers competitive multi-shot editing and 30-second 4K clips at 25.7%, yet lags in native audio consistency. Other models from Alibaba, MiniMax, and Kling trail sharply as benchmarks and blind tests highlight Veo’s practical advantages heading into the late-August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$21,248结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETGoogle’s Veo 3.1 leads with 73% implied probability due to its exclusive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and strong cinematic prompt adherence, features integrated into Google Workspace and Vids that differentiate it from rivals. Recent 2026 updates, including January’s Veo 3.1 release and audio-focused refinements, have reinforced trader consensus on its edge in production-quality output. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 (July 2026) offers competitive multi-shot editing and 30-second 4K clips at 25.7%, yet lags in native audio consistency. Other models from Alibaba, MiniMax, and Kling trail sharply as benchmarks and blind tests highlight Veo’s practical advantages heading into the late-August resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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