OpenAI’s recent launch of ChatGPT Images 2.5 on September 8 drives the 93.3% market-implied odds, extending its GPT Image 2 leadership in independent arenas through sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, more reliable multi-turn editing, and tools like Sketch for direct input. Trader consensus reflects confirmed gains in prompt adherence, text rendering, and natural textures over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. With the September 30 resolution window approaching, sustained benchmark dominance and broad ChatGPT access reinforce this positioning, though a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final weeks remains a realistic, if low-probability, shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 93.3%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI 1.9%
字节跳动 1.8%
$37,524 交易量
$37,524 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
93%
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
字节跳动
2%
微软AI
2%
Meta
1%
Black Forest Labs
1%
腾讯
1%
Reve
1%
Recraft
1%
Ideogram
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
OpenAI 93.3%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI 1.9%
字节跳动 1.8%
$37,524 交易量
$37,524 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
$27,419 交易量
93%
$477 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$451 交易量
2%
字节跳动
$385 交易量
2%
微软AI
$416 交易量
2%
Meta
$478 交易量
1%
Black Forest Labs
$316 交易量
1%
腾讯
$318 交易量
1%
Reve
$914 交易量
1%
Recraft
$284 交易量
1%
Ideogram
$404 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$330 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$5,332 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of ChatGPT Images 2.5 on September 8 drives the 93.3% market-implied odds, extending its GPT Image 2 leadership in independent arenas through sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, more reliable multi-turn editing, and tools like Sketch for direct input. Trader consensus reflects confirmed gains in prompt adherence, text rendering, and natural textures over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. With the September 30 resolution window approaching, sustained benchmark dominance and broad ChatGPT access reinforce this positioning, though a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final weeks remains a realistic, if low-probability, shift.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
交易量
$37,524结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of ChatGPT Images 2.5 on September 8 drives the 93.3% market-implied odds, extending its GPT Image 2 leadership in independent arenas through sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, more reliable multi-turn editing, and tools like Sketch for direct input. Trader consensus reflects confirmed gains in prompt adherence, text rendering, and natural textures over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. With the September 30 resolution window approaching, sustained benchmark dominance and broad ChatGPT access reinforce this positioning, though a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final weeks remains a realistic, if low-probability, shift.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$37,524结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETOpenAI’s recent launch of ChatGPT Images 2.5 on September 8 drives the 93.3% market-implied odds, extending its GPT Image 2 leadership in independent arenas through sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, more reliable multi-turn editing, and tools like Sketch for direct input. Trader consensus reflects confirmed gains in prompt adherence, text rendering, and natural textures over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. With the September 30 resolution window approaching, sustained benchmark dominance and broad ChatGPT access reinforce this positioning, though a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final weeks remains a realistic, if low-probability, shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题