Anthropic’s dominant 94.5% market-implied odds stem from its Claude models, particularly the Mythos Preview and recent Opus variants, currently leading the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top scores in advanced mathematical reasoning. A key recent catalyst is Anthropic’s August 11 announcement that an unreleased research model substantially advanced the Riemann hypothesis by raising the verified lower bound from 41.6% to 67.2%, underscoring superior capability on frontier math problems. Traders view this as confirmation of sustained leadership in large language model math benchmarks. Potential shifts before the August 31 resolution could arise from major new releases or updates by OpenAI or Google that improve their standings on the live leaderboard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.5%
Google 1.4%
阿里巴巴 <1%
$86,647 交易量
$86,647 交易量
2026-08-31
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
5%
1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
百度
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
小米
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
英伟达
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
美团
<1%
亚马逊
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Mistral
<1%
腾讯
<1%
StepFun
<1%
微软
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.5%
Google 1.4%
阿里巴巴 <1%
$86,647 交易量
$86,647 交易量
2026-08-31
Anthropic
$29,287 交易量
95%
OpenAI
$11,277 交易量
5%
$18,113 交易量
1%
阿里巴巴
$8,798 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 交易量
<1%
百度
$4,432 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 交易量
<1%
小米
$372 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$372 交易量
<1%
Meta
$494 交易量
<1%
英伟达
$1,079 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 交易量
<1%
美团
$553 交易量
<1%
亚马逊
$451 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$495 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$372 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$564 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$531 交易量
<1%
微软
$372 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s dominant 94.5% market-implied odds stem from its Claude models, particularly the Mythos Preview and recent Opus variants, currently leading the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top scores in advanced mathematical reasoning. A key recent catalyst is Anthropic’s August 11 announcement that an unreleased research model substantially advanced the Riemann hypothesis by raising the verified lower bound from 41.6% to 67.2%, underscoring superior capability on frontier math problems. Traders view this as confirmation of sustained leadership in large language model math benchmarks. Potential shifts before the August 31 resolution could arise from major new releases or updates by OpenAI or Google that improve their standings on the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
交易量
$86,647结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s dominant 94.5% market-implied odds stem from its Claude models, particularly the Mythos Preview and recent Opus variants, currently leading the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top scores in advanced mathematical reasoning. A key recent catalyst is Anthropic’s August 11 announcement that an unreleased research model substantially advanced the Riemann hypothesis by raising the verified lower bound from 41.6% to 67.2%, underscoring superior capability on frontier math problems. Traders view this as confirmation of sustained leadership in large language model math benchmarks. Potential shifts before the August 31 resolution could arise from major new releases or updates by OpenAI or Google that improve their standings on the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$86,647结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETAnthropic’s dominant 94.5% market-implied odds stem from its Claude models, particularly the Mythos Preview and recent Opus variants, currently leading the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top scores in advanced mathematical reasoning. A key recent catalyst is Anthropic’s August 11 announcement that an unreleased research model substantially advanced the Riemann hypothesis by raising the verified lower bound from 41.6% to 67.2%, underscoring superior capability on frontier math problems. Traders view this as confirmation of sustained leadership in large language model math benchmarks. Potential shifts before the August 31 resolution could arise from major new releases or updates by OpenAI or Google that improve their standings on the live leaderboard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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