Anthropic’s commanding position on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives the 82.5% market-implied probability, with its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants posting the highest scores around 1765 through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and fullstack tasks involving reasoning, tool use, and real app deployment. As of early September 2026, these models maintain a clear lead in human preference votes over competitors, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 at a preliminary second place with overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family trails further back, reflecting incremental gains but limited recent breakthroughs in this specific benchmark ahead of the late-month resolution. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge in coding benchmarks rather than unverified rumors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 82%
OpenAI 17.4%
阿里巴巴 <1%
谷歌 <1%
$97,304 交易量
$97,304 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
82%
OpenAI
17%
阿里巴巴
1%
谷歌
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
腾讯
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 82%
OpenAI 17.4%
阿里巴巴 <1%
谷歌 <1%
$97,304 交易量
$97,304 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
$43,667 交易量
82%
OpenAI
$9,752 交易量
17%
阿里巴巴
$5,829 交易量
1%
谷歌
$3,573 交易量
1%
Moonshot
$18,351 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$3,804 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$3,189 交易量
<1%
Meta
$2,204 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$468 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$559 交易量
<1%
小米
$657 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$560 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$571 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$641 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$789 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding position on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives the 82.5% market-implied probability, with its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants posting the highest scores around 1765 through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and fullstack tasks involving reasoning, tool use, and real app deployment. As of early September 2026, these models maintain a clear lead in human preference votes over competitors, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 at a preliminary second place with overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family trails further back, reflecting incremental gains but limited recent breakthroughs in this specific benchmark ahead of the late-month resolution. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge in coding benchmarks rather than unverified rumors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
交易量
$97,304结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding position on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives the 82.5% market-implied probability, with its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants posting the highest scores around 1765 through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and fullstack tasks involving reasoning, tool use, and real app deployment. As of early September 2026, these models maintain a clear lead in human preference votes over competitors, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 at a preliminary second place with overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family trails further back, reflecting incremental gains but limited recent breakthroughs in this specific benchmark ahead of the late-month resolution. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge in coding benchmarks rather than unverified rumors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$97,304结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETAnthropic’s commanding position on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives the 82.5% market-implied probability, with its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants posting the highest scores around 1765 through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and fullstack tasks involving reasoning, tool use, and real app deployment. As of early September 2026, these models maintain a clear lead in human preference votes over competitors, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 at a preliminary second place with overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family trails further back, reflecting incremental gains but limited recent breakthroughs in this specific benchmark ahead of the late-month resolution. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s consistent edge in coding benchmarks rather than unverified rumors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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