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科技·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
科技·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

12月 31

12月 31

$13,217 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$13,217 交易量

Polymarket

Denver, CO

$154 交易量

80%

San Diego, CA

$453 交易量

79%

Tampa, FL

$1,629 交易量

85%

Las Vegas, NV

$1,250 交易量

73%

Charlotte, NC

$75 交易量

61%

Sacramento, CA

$230 交易量

61%

St. Louis, MO

$0 交易量

54%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 交易量

47%

Detroit, MI

$0 交易量

47%

New York, NY

$362 交易量

34%

London, UK

$74 交易量

23%

Minneapolis, MN

$1,481 交易量

19%

Baltimore, MD

$407 交易量

18%

Seattle, WA

$57 交易量

17%

Washington, DC

$1,079 交易量

15%

Portland, OR

$2,295 交易量

11%

Boston, MA

$2,905 交易量

9%

Pittsburgh, PA

$104 交易量

57%

New Orleans, LA

$61 交易量

51%

Chicago, IL

$581 交易量

41%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 交易量

45%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully driverless robotaxi service across Sun Belt markets stems from its November 2025 announcement removing safety drivers in Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, followed by public launches and fleet scaling via partnerships with Avis, Uber, and Lyft. The company has since opened Nashville and expanded service areas in existing markets while resuming freeway operations after software fixes, supported by a $16 billion funding round. Competitive pressure from other AV developers and regulatory approvals in states like Texas and Florida are accelerating timelines, though London’s targeted Q4 launch and further U.S. entries such as Denver, Detroit, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Washington, D.C., depend on permitting and operational readiness before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,217
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully driverless robotaxi service across Sun Belt markets stems from its November 2025 announcement removing safety drivers in Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, followed by public launches and fleet scaling via partnerships with Avis, Uber, and Lyft. The company has since opened Nashville and expanded service areas in existing markets while resuming freeway operations after software fixes, supported by a $16 billion funding round. Competitive pressure from other AV developers and regulatory approvals in states like Texas and Florida are accelerating timelines, though London’s targeted Q4 launch and further U.S. entries such as Denver, Detroit, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Washington, D.C., depend on permitting and operational readiness before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,217
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tampa, FL"，概率为 85%，其次是"Denver, CO"，概率为 80%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?"已产生 $13.2K 的总交易量（自Jun 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?"的当前领先者是"Tampa, FL"，概率为 85%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"Denver, CO"，概率为 80%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。