President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,135 交易量
2026-05-22
失业5次以上
否
通胀5次以上
是
关税5次以上
否
下午好
否
工作
是
翻新
否
愚蠢
否
宴会厅 / 泳池
否
拜登
是
六七
否
伊朗
是
太迟了
否
降价
否
黄金
否
经济衰退
否
繁荣
是
预算
是
战争
否
石油
否
加密货币 / 比特币
否
历史新高
否
杰罗姆 / 鲍威尔
否
-没有符合条件的事件-
否
$46,135 交易量
失业5次以上
$1,303 交易量
否
通胀5次以上
$1,981 交易量
是
关税5次以上
$1,298 交易量
否
下午好
$559 交易量
否
工作
$12,339 交易量
是
翻新
$811 交易量
否
愚蠢
$1,272 交易量
否
宴会厅 / 泳池
$527 交易量
否
拜登
$465 交易量
是
六七
$309 交易量
否
伊朗
$624 交易量
是
太迟了
$2,156 交易量
否
降价
$976 交易量
否
黄金
$331 交易量
否
经济衰退
$651 交易量
否
繁荣
$699 交易量
是
预算
$1,455 交易量
是
战争
$2,187 交易量
否
石油
$3,009 交易量
否
加密货币 / 比特币
$3,188 交易量
否
历史新高
$948 交易量
否
杰罗姆 / 鲍威尔
$3,060 交易量
否
-没有符合条件的事件-
$5,986 交易量
否
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
交易量
$46,135结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,135结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
President Donald Trump participated in the White House swearing-in ceremony for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 22, 2026, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. Trader attention centers on Trump's public remarks during the event, which historically feature unscripted comments on economic policy, Fed independence, and personnel performance. Recent developments include Trump's earlier nomination of Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell, Senate confirmation, and pre-ceremony statements stressing that the central bank should operate without external pressure on interest rates. Market pricing reflects the "wisdom of crowds" assessing the likelihood of specific terms appearing in Trump's remarks, informed by his prior public emphasis on reform at the institution and expectations for lower rates amid ongoing economic conditions. Upcoming resolution hinges on the official transcript or video of the East Room proceedings, where factors such as prepared remarks versus spontaneous asides could shift outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题