Recent data from Zillow through June 2026 place typical U.S. home values near $373,000, reflecting just 0.8% year-over-year growth amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% that continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability. Forecasts from Realtor.com, Redfin, and J.P. Morgan project 2026 price gains of 0–2.2% or flat performance as inventory recovers modestly and wage growth outpaces appreciation. These factors underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the <$419K bucket at 53.3% implied probability, with traders pricing in limited upside through September 30 given persistent rate pressures and thin sales momentum. Upcoming FHFA and Census releases will provide further clarity on the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于$419K 53.3%
$419K - $426K 34.0%
$426K - $433K 8.0%
$433K - $440K 3.0%
$49,490 交易量
$49,490 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$419K
53%
$419K - $426K
34%
$426K - $433K
8%
$433K - $440K
3%
44万 - 44.7万美元
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454,000以上
<1%
低于$419K 53.3%
$419K - $426K 34.0%
$426K - $433K 8.0%
$433K - $440K 3.0%
$49,490 交易量
$49,490 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$419K
$15,543 交易量
53%
$419K - $426K
$9,011 交易量
34%
$426K - $433K
$5,347 交易量
8%
$433K - $440K
$11,771 交易量
3%
44万 - 44.7万美元
$3,242 交易量
<1%
$447K - $454K
$4,043 交易量
<1%
$454,000以上
$532 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent data from Zillow through June 2026 place typical U.S. home values near $373,000, reflecting just 0.8% year-over-year growth amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% that continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability. Forecasts from Realtor.com, Redfin, and J.P. Morgan project 2026 price gains of 0–2.2% or flat performance as inventory recovers modestly and wage growth outpaces appreciation. These factors underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the <$419K bucket at 53.3% implied probability, with traders pricing in limited upside through September 30 given persistent rate pressures and thin sales momentum. Upcoming FHFA and Census releases will provide further clarity on the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$49,490结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent data from Zillow through June 2026 place typical U.S. home values near $373,000, reflecting just 0.8% year-over-year growth amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% that continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability. Forecasts from Realtor.com, Redfin, and J.P. Morgan project 2026 price gains of 0–2.2% or flat performance as inventory recovers modestly and wage growth outpaces appreciation. These factors underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the <$419K bucket at 53.3% implied probability, with traders pricing in limited upside through September 30 given persistent rate pressures and thin sales momentum. Upcoming FHFA and Census releases will provide further clarity on the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
交易量
$49,490结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data from Zillow through June 2026 place typical U.S. home values near $373,000, reflecting just 0.8% year-over-year growth amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.3% that continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability. Forecasts from Realtor.com, Redfin, and J.P. Morgan project 2026 price gains of 0–2.2% or flat performance as inventory recovers modestly and wage growth outpaces appreciation. These factors underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the <$419K bucket at 53.3% implied probability, with traders pricing in limited upside through September 30 given persistent rate pressures and thin sales momentum. Upcoming FHFA and Census releases will provide further clarity on the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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