Recent federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions plus contractor losses have boosted DC Metro inventory by up to 50% year-over-year, pressuring prices amid mortgage rates near 6%. Median sale prices show mixed signals, with Zillow home values near $579,000 down 2.3% and forecasts calling for a modest 1% decline to around $617,000 for 2026 overall, reflecting softer demand and longer days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly between $518,000–$530,000 as these supply-side dynamics compete with resilient sale-to-list ratios near 99% and potential late-year rate relief. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data and any FOMC signals on policy easing before the September 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$524,000 - $530,000 33.2%
$518K - $524K 26.0%
$536K - $542K 19%
$53万 - $53.6万 14.8%
$15,004 交易量
$15,004 交易量
2026-09-30
<$512,000
8%
$512K - $518K
10%
$518K - $524K
26%
$524,000 - $530,000
33%
$53万 - $53.6万
15%
$536K - $542K
19%
54.2万美元+
10%
$524,000 - $530,000 33.2%
$518K - $524K 26.0%
$536K - $542K 19%
$53万 - $53.6万 14.8%
$15,004 交易量
$15,004 交易量
2026-09-30
<$512,000
$605 交易量
8%
$512K - $518K
$618 交易量
10%
$518K - $524K
$4,146 交易量
26%
$524,000 - $530,000
$870 交易量
33%
$53万 - $53.6万
$1,585 交易量
15%
$536K - $542K
$3,276 交易量
19%
54.2万美元+
$3,903 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions plus contractor losses have boosted DC Metro inventory by up to 50% year-over-year, pressuring prices amid mortgage rates near 6%. Median sale prices show mixed signals, with Zillow home values near $579,000 down 2.3% and forecasts calling for a modest 1% decline to around $617,000 for 2026 overall, reflecting softer demand and longer days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly between $518,000–$530,000 as these supply-side dynamics compete with resilient sale-to-list ratios near 99% and potential late-year rate relief. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data and any FOMC signals on policy easing before the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$15,004结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions plus contractor losses have boosted DC Metro inventory by up to 50% year-over-year, pressuring prices amid mortgage rates near 6%. Median sale prices show mixed signals, with Zillow home values near $579,000 down 2.3% and forecasts calling for a modest 1% decline to around $617,000 for 2026 overall, reflecting softer demand and longer days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly between $518,000–$530,000 as these supply-side dynamics compete with resilient sale-to-list ratios near 99% and potential late-year rate relief. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data and any FOMC signals on policy easing before the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
交易量
$15,004结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions plus contractor losses have boosted DC Metro inventory by up to 50% year-over-year, pressuring prices amid mortgage rates near 6%. Median sale prices show mixed signals, with Zillow home values near $579,000 down 2.3% and forecasts calling for a modest 1% decline to around $617,000 for 2026 overall, reflecting softer demand and longer days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly between $518,000–$530,000 as these supply-side dynamics compete with resilient sale-to-list ratios near 99% and potential late-year rate relief. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data and any FOMC signals on policy easing before the September 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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