Recent sales data through mid-2026 indicate modest year-over-year price appreciation of 3-5% across New York City boroughs, supported by tight inventory and resilient demand outside Manhattan, though higher mortgage rates near 6% continue to weigh on affordability and transaction volumes. This environment, combined with stable labor market conditions and limited near-term supply increases, underpins trader consensus around the $636K-$663K range for the September 30 median home value, with the adjacent $609K-$636K bucket reflecting downside risks from any seasonal softening or rate persistence. Key upcoming data releases on housing metrics could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$636K - $663K 48.7%
$609K - $636K 43.0%
$663K - $689K 9.5%
$689K以上 4.8%
$27,816 交易量
$27,816 交易量
低于$555K
2%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
4%
$609K - $636K
50%
$636K - $663K
49%
$663K - $689K
10%
$689K以上
5%
$636K - $663K 48.7%
$609K - $636K 43.0%
$663K - $689K 9.5%
$689K以上 4.8%
$27,816 交易量
$27,816 交易量
低于$555K
2%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
4%
$609K - $636K
50%
$636K - $663K
49%
$663K - $689K
10%
$689K以上
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
市场开放时间: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sales data through mid-2026 indicate modest year-over-year price appreciation of 3-5% across New York City boroughs, supported by tight inventory and resilient demand outside Manhattan, though higher mortgage rates near 6% continue to weigh on affordability and transaction volumes. This environment, combined with stable labor market conditions and limited near-term supply increases, underpins trader consensus around the $636K-$663K range for the September 30 median home value, with the adjacent $609K-$636K bucket reflecting downside risks from any seasonal softening or rate persistence. Key upcoming data releases on housing metrics could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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