Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market-implied position at 34.5% among the seven nominees in the returning Best Dance category, fueled by her overall 11 VMA nods, the visual’s additional placements in choreography and direction, and her scheduled opening performance at the September 27 ceremony. Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl” follows closely at 31%, supported by its separate best choreography nod and strong fan engagement. Slayyyter’s “DANCE…” and PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” sit just behind at 29–29.5%, reflecting solid streaming and critical buzz but narrower precursor momentum. Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “Runway” at 24% benefits from high-profile collaboration status, while Harry Styles and Bebe Rexha & Faithless trail further. With fan voting closing September 25, late shifts in social momentum or last-minute campaign pushes could still tighten or upend the tight pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳舞蹈2026
VMA最佳舞蹈2026
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae） 50%
Dance...（Slayyyter） 45%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii） 42%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜） 35%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
50%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
45%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii）
42%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜）
35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
29%
光圈（Harry Styles）
9%
New Religion（Bebe Rexha 和 Faithless）
1%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae） 50%
Dance...（Slayyyter） 45%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii） 42%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜） 35%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
50%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
45%
Runway（Lady Gaga 和 Doechii）
42%
Confessions II – The Film（麦当娜）
35%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
29%
光圈（Harry Styles）
9%
New Religion（Bebe Rexha 和 Faithless）
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market-implied position at 34.5% among the seven nominees in the returning Best Dance category, fueled by her overall 11 VMA nods, the visual’s additional placements in choreography and direction, and her scheduled opening performance at the September 27 ceremony. Tate McRae’s “Nobody’s Girl” follows closely at 31%, supported by its separate best choreography nod and strong fan engagement. Slayyyter’s “DANCE…” and PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” sit just behind at 29–29.5%, reflecting solid streaming and critical buzz but narrower precursor momentum. Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “Runway” at 24% benefits from high-profile collaboration status, while Harry Styles and Bebe Rexha & Faithless trail further. With fan voting closing September 25, late shifts in social momentum or last-minute campaign pushes could still tighten or upend the tight pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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