Sienna Spiro holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market thanks to her recent UK chart-topping single “Great Expectation,” strong debut album *Visitor* performance, and confirmed performance slot at the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting, which remains open through the show, creates tight implied probabilities across the field of Bella Kay, CORTIS, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, and Magnus Ferrell. Traders weigh Spiro’s critical acclaim, global streams, and breakout trajectory against CORTIS’s substantial social and video-platform footprint plus Malcolm Todd’s Spotify dominance. Historical VMA fan-vote volatility and last-minute streaming updates keep the outcome fluid heading into the final days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA最佳新人
2026年VMA最佳新人
Sienna Spiro 52%
Cortis 42%
马尔科姆·托德 33.5%
Myles Smith 8.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
52%
Cortis
42%
马尔科姆·托德
34%
Myles Smith
8%
Stella Lefty
5%
贝拉·凯
4%
Magnus Ferrell
4%
Sienna Spiro 52%
Cortis 42%
马尔科姆·托德 33.5%
Myles Smith 8.4%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
$24 交易量
52%
Cortis
$397 交易量
42%
马尔科姆·托德
$5 交易量
34%
Myles Smith
$10 交易量
8%
Stella Lefty
$4 交易量
5%
贝拉·凯
$25 交易量
4%
Magnus Ferrell
$44 交易量
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market thanks to her recent UK chart-topping single “Great Expectation,” strong debut album *Visitor* performance, and confirmed performance slot at the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting, which remains open through the show, creates tight implied probabilities across the field of Bella Kay, CORTIS, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, and Magnus Ferrell. Traders weigh Spiro’s critical acclaim, global streams, and breakout trajectory against CORTIS’s substantial social and video-platform footprint plus Malcolm Todd’s Spotify dominance. Historical VMA fan-vote volatility and last-minute streaming updates keep the outcome fluid heading into the final days.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$508结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market thanks to her recent UK chart-topping single “Great Expectation,” strong debut album *Visitor* performance, and confirmed performance slot at the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting, which remains open through the show, creates tight implied probabilities across the field of Bella Kay, CORTIS, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, and Magnus Ferrell. Traders weigh Spiro’s critical acclaim, global streams, and breakout trajectory against CORTIS’s substantial social and video-platform footprint plus Malcolm Todd’s Spotify dominance. Historical VMA fan-vote volatility and last-minute streaming updates keep the outcome fluid heading into the final days.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$508结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSienna Spiro holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market thanks to her recent UK chart-topping single “Great Expectation,” strong debut album *Visitor* performance, and confirmed performance slot at the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting, which remains open through the show, creates tight implied probabilities across the field of Bella Kay, CORTIS, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, and Magnus Ferrell. Traders weigh Spiro’s critical acclaim, global streams, and breakout trajectory against CORTIS’s substantial social and video-platform footprint plus Malcolm Todd’s Spotify dominance. Historical VMA fan-vote volatility and last-minute streaming updates keep the outcome fluid heading into the final days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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