Trader sentiment for Google DeepMind's Veo 4 public release remains cautious, with implied probabilities around 9% for an April 30 cutoff, reflecting no official announcement despite persistent rumors of internal testing and third-party API listings at $3 per generation. Veo 3.1, updated in early April with native audio and extended clips, trails competitors like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3 in realism and speed, fueling calls for acceleration amid Google's vast YouTube dataset advantage. Historical cadence—Veo 3 in May 2025—points to Google I/O on May 19-20 as the key catalyst, where major AI video upgrades often debut, though timelines frequently slip due to safety evaluations and scaling challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,066 交易量
4月30日
5%
$43,066 交易量
4月30日
5%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Google DeepMind's Veo 4 public release remains cautious, with implied probabilities around 9% for an April 30 cutoff, reflecting no official announcement despite persistent rumors of internal testing and third-party API listings at $3 per generation. Veo 3.1, updated in early April with native audio and extended clips, trails competitors like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3 in realism and speed, fueling calls for acceleration amid Google's vast YouTube dataset advantage. Historical cadence—Veo 3 in May 2025—points to Google I/O on May 19-20 as the key catalyst, where major AI video upgrades often debut, though timelines frequently slip due to safety evaluations and scaling challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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