US military officials addressed reports of potential "kamikaze dolphins" during early May 2026 Pentagon briefings tied to Iran-related tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stating the military could "neither confirm nor deny" their existence while confirming Iran lacked such capabilities. The US Navy maintains a longstanding Marine Mammal Program focused on mine detection and harbor protection using dolphins and sea lions, but no official statements, leaks, or evidence emerged confirming suicidal attack training or deployment by the May 31 deadline. Traders assign near-certain probability to "No" because resolution requires explicit confirmation that did not occur amid routine denial of the concept and established program limits. Late disclosures from the Pentagon or credible primary sources after the cutoff remain the only realistic paths that could have altered the outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$60,811 交易量
$60,811 交易量
是
$60,811 交易量
$60,811 交易量
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
US military officials addressed reports of potential "kamikaze dolphins" during early May 2026 Pentagon briefings tied to Iran-related tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stating the military could "neither confirm nor deny" their existence while confirming Iran lacked such capabilities. The US Navy maintains a longstanding Marine Mammal Program focused on mine detection and harbor protection using dolphins and sea lions, but no official statements, leaks, or evidence emerged confirming suicidal attack training or deployment by the May 31 deadline. Traders assign near-certain probability to "No" because resolution requires explicit confirmation that did not occur amid routine denial of the concept and established program limits. Late disclosures from the Pentagon or credible primary sources after the cutoff remain the only realistic paths that could have altered the outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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