US consideration of expanded military facilities in Israel has centered on strategic reviews prompted by Iranian missile threats to Gulf installations during earlier 2026 conflict, including reports of Negev options and temporary aircraft deployments. No official US government announcement of a new permanent sovereign base has occurred, however, with ongoing discussions limited to feasibility studies, joint operations enhancements, and smaller existing sites rather than formal basing decisions. Recent arms transfer notifications and legislative support for defense cooperation underscore alliance ties without triggering the market's announcement threshold, leaving trader consensus on "No" aligned with the absence of confirmed executive or Pentagon action through mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
23% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
23% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US consideration of expanded military facilities in Israel has centered on strategic reviews prompted by Iranian missile threats to Gulf installations during earlier 2026 conflict, including reports of Negev options and temporary aircraft deployments. No official US government announcement of a new permanent sovereign base has occurred, however, with ongoing discussions limited to feasibility studies, joint operations enhancements, and smaller existing sites rather than formal basing decisions. Recent arms transfer notifications and legislative support for defense cooperation underscore alliance ties without triggering the market's announcement threshold, leaving trader consensus on "No" aligned with the absence of confirmed executive or Pentagon action through mid-September.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$675结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US consideration of expanded military facilities in Israel has centered on strategic reviews prompted by Iranian missile threats to Gulf installations during earlier 2026 conflict, including reports of Negev options and temporary aircraft deployments. No official US government announcement of a new permanent sovereign base has occurred, however, with ongoing discussions limited to feasibility studies, joint operations enhancements, and smaller existing sites rather than formal basing decisions. Recent arms transfer notifications and legislative support for defense cooperation underscore alliance ties without triggering the market's announcement threshold, leaving trader consensus on "No" aligned with the absence of confirmed executive or Pentagon action through mid-September.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
交易量
$675结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETUS consideration of expanded military facilities in Israel has centered on strategic reviews prompted by Iranian missile threats to Gulf installations during earlier 2026 conflict, including reports of Negev options and temporary aircraft deployments. No official US government announcement of a new permanent sovereign base has occurred, however, with ongoing discussions limited to feasibility studies, joint operations enhancements, and smaller existing sites rather than formal basing decisions. Recent arms transfer notifications and legislative support for defense cooperation underscore alliance ties without triggering the market's announcement threshold, leaving trader consensus on "No" aligned with the absence of confirmed executive or Pentagon action through mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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