Recent UK GDP data and external shocks are anchoring trader expectations for modest Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter growth centered on the 0.2–0.3% range. Official figures showed a 0.4% expansion in Q2 following 0.6% in Q1, with services driving output while production stagnated; monthly estimates indicated 0.3% growth in June. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, eroding real household incomes and prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid rising inflation pressures expected to peak above 3% later in the year. Forecasters, including the IMF and OBR, project full-year growth near 1.0–1.1%, reflecting softening labor markets, higher unemployment near 5%, and subdued underlying momentum that points to limited upside in the current quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.2–0.3% 42%
0.4–0.5% 26%
0.0–0.1% 17%
0.6–0.7% 6.5%
$18,422 交易量
$18,422 交易量
2026-11-11
负增长
6%
0.0–0.1%
17%
0.2–0.3%
42%
0.4–0.5%
26%
0.6–0.7%
6%
0.8–0.9%
1%
1.0%及以上
2%
0.2–0.3% 42%
0.4–0.5% 26%
0.0–0.1% 17%
0.6–0.7% 6.5%
$18,422 交易量
$18,422 交易量
2026-11-11
负增长
$3,955 交易量
6%
0.0–0.1%
$5,412 交易量
17%
0.2–0.3%
$6,689 交易量
42%
0.4–0.5%
$1,673 交易量
26%
0.6–0.7%
$265 交易量
6%
0.8–0.9%
$196 交易量
1%
1.0%及以上
$232 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data and external shocks are anchoring trader expectations for modest Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter growth centered on the 0.2–0.3% range. Official figures showed a 0.4% expansion in Q2 following 0.6% in Q1, with services driving output while production stagnated; monthly estimates indicated 0.3% growth in June. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, eroding real household incomes and prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid rising inflation pressures expected to peak above 3% later in the year. Forecasters, including the IMF and OBR, project full-year growth near 1.0–1.1%, reflecting softening labor markets, higher unemployment near 5%, and subdued underlying momentum that points to limited upside in the current quarter.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
交易量
$18,422结束日期
2026-11-12市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data and external shocks are anchoring trader expectations for modest Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter growth centered on the 0.2–0.3% range. Official figures showed a 0.4% expansion in Q2 following 0.6% in Q1, with services driving output while production stagnated; monthly estimates indicated 0.3% growth in June. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, eroding real household incomes and prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid rising inflation pressures expected to peak above 3% later in the year. Forecasters, including the IMF and OBR, project full-year growth near 1.0–1.1%, reflecting softening labor markets, higher unemployment near 5%, and subdued underlying momentum that points to limited upside in the current quarter.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$18,422结束日期
2026-11-12市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETRecent UK GDP data and external shocks are anchoring trader expectations for modest Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter growth centered on the 0.2–0.3% range. Official figures showed a 0.4% expansion in Q2 following 0.6% in Q1, with services driving output while production stagnated; monthly estimates indicated 0.3% growth in June. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, eroding real household incomes and prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid rising inflation pressures expected to peak above 3% later in the year. Forecasters, including the IMF and OBR, project full-year growth near 1.0–1.1%, reflecting softening labor markets, higher unemployment near 5%, and subdued underlying momentum that points to limited upside in the current quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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