The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$3,538,138 交易量
$3,538,138 交易量
2026-05-31
$3,538,138 交易量
$3,538,138 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$3,538,138结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,538,138结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The near-certain trader consensus that Trump would remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional removal process, including impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals during his term that began in January 2025. Congressional majorities aligned with the administration have blocked advancement of such measures, while no verified health or incapacity developments triggered formal action. Historical patterns of low success rates for mid-term removals further reinforced positioning. Late-breaking events such as sudden incapacity declarations or unexpected resignation could theoretically have shifted outcomes, though none occurred within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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