Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained public opposition to U.S. military involvement in the Middle East conflict with Iran and ongoing economic dissatisfaction. Surveys released in mid-May, including those from NYT/Siena and other outlets conducted through May 15, showed approval at or near 37 percent, with subsequent tracking confirming little movement through May 22. The market’s tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 reflects this period of relative stability in the data. Potential shifts could still arise from new economic indicators, diplomatic developments in the conflict, or additional poll releases that alter the final figure used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.5–38.9 100.0%
<37.5 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$36,391 交易量
$36,391 交易量
<37.5
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5+
No
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<37.5 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$36,391 交易量
$36,391 交易量
<37.5
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained public opposition to U.S. military involvement in the Middle East conflict with Iran and ongoing economic dissatisfaction. Surveys released in mid-May, including those from NYT/Siena and other outlets conducted through May 15, showed approval at or near 37 percent, with subsequent tracking confirming little movement through May 22. The market’s tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 reflects this period of relative stability in the data. Potential shifts could still arise from new economic indicators, diplomatic developments in the conflict, or additional poll releases that alter the final figure used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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