Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于37.5–37.9 1.0%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
低于37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$1,878 交易量
$1,878 交易量
2026-08-07
低于37.0
否
37.0–37.4
否
37.5–37.9
否
38.0–38.4
否
38.5–38.9
是
39.0以上
否
37.5–37.9 1.0%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
低于37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$1,878 交易量
$1,878 交易量
2026-08-07
低于37.0
$333 交易量
否
37.0–37.4
$296 交易量
否
37.5–37.9
$143 交易量
否
38.0–38.4
$283 交易量
否
38.5–38.9
$365 交易量
是
39.0以上
$460 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$1,878结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$1,878结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题