Trader consensus on Polymarket solidly prices "The Devil Wears Prada 2" second-weekend domestic box office under $50 million at a near-certain implied probability, driven by early weekday data signaling a 44% drop from its dazzling $77 million opening amid fierce competition from "Mortal Kombat 2," which debuted to $40 million. Nostalgia-fueled debut exceeded tracking but mixed critical reception (around 65% on Rotten Tomatoes) and modest audience scores curbed word-of-mouth momentum, with Thursday's $5.2 million confirming softer legs typical for event-driven sequels. Final Sunday estimates locked in $43 million, validating the skin-in-the-game crowd. An upset above $58 million would require viral social buzz or rival underperformance, but crowded May slate makes that improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《穿普拉达的恶魔2》第二周末票房
低于5,000万 100.0%
5000万-5400万 <1%
5400万-5800万 <1%
>5800万 <1%
$148,996 交易量
$148,996 交易量
低于5,000万
是
5000万-5400万
否
5400万-5800万
否
>5800万
否
低于5,000万 100.0%
5000万-5400万 <1%
5400万-5800万 <1%
>5800万 <1%
$148,996 交易量
$148,996 交易量
低于5,000万
是
5000万-5400万
否
5400万-5800万
否
>5800万
否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: May 5, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket solidly prices "The Devil Wears Prada 2" second-weekend domestic box office under $50 million at a near-certain implied probability, driven by early weekday data signaling a 44% drop from its dazzling $77 million opening amid fierce competition from "Mortal Kombat 2," which debuted to $40 million. Nostalgia-fueled debut exceeded tracking but mixed critical reception (around 65% on Rotten Tomatoes) and modest audience scores curbed word-of-mouth momentum, with Thursday's $5.2 million confirming softer legs typical for event-driven sequels. Final Sunday estimates locked in $43 million, validating the skin-in-the-game crowd. An upset above $58 million would require viral social buzz or rival underperformance, but crowded May slate makes that improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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