Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding position in South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary through established party infrastructure, substantial fundraising, and targeted spending by allied super PACs that highlighted the leading challenger's background. Official results showed Graham at 56.8 percent against Mark Lynch's 28.9 percent, producing a margin that aligned with trader expectations of a comfortable first-round win. This outcome reflected limited primary opposition cohesion and Graham's ability to consolidate support without a runoff. A narrower margin could have emerged only from significantly higher challenger turnout or unexpected late shifts in voter sentiment among Republican primary participants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于格雷厄姆20–30% 100.0%
格雷厄姆 50%以上 <1%
格雷厄姆 40–50% <1%
格雷厄姆30–40% <1%
$13,610 交易量
$13,610 交易量
格雷厄姆 50%以上
否
格雷厄姆 40–50%
否
格雷厄姆30–40%
否
格雷厄姆20–30%
是
格雷厄姆10–20%
否
格雷厄姆<10%
否
林奇获胜
否
格雷厄姆20–30% 100.0%
格雷厄姆 50%以上 <1%
格雷厄姆 40–50% <1%
格雷厄姆30–40% <1%
$13,610 交易量
$13,610 交易量
格雷厄姆 50%以上
否
格雷厄姆 40–50%
否
格雷厄姆30–40%
否
格雷厄姆20–30%
是
格雷厄姆10–20%
否
格雷厄姆<10%
否
林奇获胜
否
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding position in South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary through established party infrastructure, substantial fundraising, and targeted spending by allied super PACs that highlighted the leading challenger's background. Official results showed Graham at 56.8 percent against Mark Lynch's 28.9 percent, producing a margin that aligned with trader expectations of a comfortable first-round win. This outcome reflected limited primary opposition cohesion and Graham's ability to consolidate support without a runoff. A narrower margin could have emerged only from significantly higher challenger turnout or unexpected late shifts in voter sentiment among Republican primary participants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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警惕外部链接哦。
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