Napoli holds a commanding position in the race for Serie A second place, backed by a double-digit points advantage over Roma and AC Milan with the campaign nearing its conclusion. Their consistent results across recent matchweeks, including key victories that widened the gap, have solidified trader consensus around their implied probability. The chasing sides remain locked in a battle for European spots but face a steep climb given their lower goal differences, fewer remaining fixtures, and inconsistent form. While an improbable sequence of upsets, injuries, or dropped points by Napoli in the final rounds could theoretically reopen the contest, the current standings and schedule make significant movement highly unlikely.